1989 Playoffs...... with a 3rd wild card
Posted: Fri May 09, 2025 4:05 am
Inspired by 74_75_78_79's NBA-style playoff proposal for 1989 and the AFC............
Let's say the playoff format expands a year early, we have 6 playoff teams to end the 80s rather than start the 90s, and there is a fight for the 6 seed
For one, the Packers are battling not just the Vikings but Washington: their Saturday shutout of Seattle puts pressure on the Pack. Does GB play 1-14 DAL differently if they know they WOULD have been guaranteed a playoff spot?
Would the AFC Wild Card scramble have been more or less chaotic with 3 wild cards spots available instead of 2?
Let's assume the GB/PIT outcomes at Tampa and Dallas respectively are the same, as well as New Orleans blowing out Indy, Giants/Raiders, Chiefs/Dolphins:
both the Packers/Steelers would have already been in as 2nd WC's with a spot to spare (Green Bay's win would have knocked out 10-6 WSH, PIT would have known they were in on once they saw the Dolphins/Raiders/Colts losses) In fact, the Steelers would have already known they were onto Houston BEFORE Monday night!
The Bengals/Vikings MNF finale here has a different tone:
With the Rams/Eagles both 11-5, GB/MIN would have both been basically locked into a 3/6 matchup where MNF 12/25 is to determine NFC Central champ, so it wouldn't have been do-or-die but rather who hosts round 3
OTOH, while the Bengals are still fighting for a playoff spot the team that would have been watching on TV on Christmas night would not have been Pittsburgh, but Kansas City (thanks to their tie) and the reward at stake for the last AFC playoff spot would have not been a trip to Houston, but
Buffalo (which for Cincy would have been a rematch of last January AND a November game at Orchard Park)
Assuming MIN/CIN still plays out the same way, in addition to Rams/Eagles and Steelers/Oilers, we get Chiefs at Bills and Packers at Vikings
However, if the Bengals win, it's instead Vikings at Packers and Bengals at Bills
(Should the Packers choke in Big D and you want to do a Redskins/Vikings hypo 2 years after 87 but this time indoors be my guest although THAT basically changes the Vikings incentive)
Both road teams in real life won on 12/31/89, but what of those two other games? GB/MIN is now on Sunday because you can't play on Monday Does that change the fate of LA/PIT?
Bills/Chiefs in 89 would have been a very different version compared to 1991- BUF was not yet running no huddle and they were the Bickering Bills, but KC wasn't quite the beast they would soon become
Green Bay OTOH had split with Minnesota and was probably playing better down the stretch than Minny despite 8-0 at home
Now the big wild card is the divisional rule which was put in place because of the new format. If one of the 6 seeds pulls an upset, they go to DEN/SF which reroutes the Steelers and Rams.
Remember in 1989, we did not get Rams/49ers because of the old rule. Let's say the Vikings hold serve at home vs GB, is Rams/49ers a week earlier any more or less competitive? Meanwhile, that sends Minnesota to Giants Stadium where they had played a MNF game on Halloween Eve that turned in the 2nd half thanks to some fumbled kickoffs.
One thing we know for sure is that with a 6 team NFC, the Vikings would have NOT gone to San Francisco in the divisional (which they might have taken their chances on after what happened in 88)
Or if the Packers find a way, it's still Rams at Giants but also...... Packers at 49ers (and we all know what happened in November)
In the AFC, should BUF hold serve, that side stays the same (PIT/DEN, BUF/CLE). But if the Chiefs somehow found a way to take advantage of the Bickering Bills...... Chiefs at Broncos AND Steelers at Browns
We know about Marty's history vs Elway, but DEN played down to the competition vs the Steelers and the Chiefs were a smidge better IMO than PIT. Meanwhile..... Steelers at Browns, nuff said. We almost got that in a real-life AFC-CG, but how does Pittsburgh fare on that dirt field? Plus remember PIT had won there in October (their only win at CLE between 1981-1994!)
And perhaps to a lesser extent, I think the schedule would have looked a bit different because remember MIN played vs CIN on a Monday night so they had to play on Sunday.
Does Rams/Eagles play out a smidge different on Saturday in different weather? And where would Chiefs/Bills be scheduled?
This gives us 2 dome playoff games and 2 outdoor playoff games.
Just something interesting I thought of because the 1989 playoffs were a tale of contrasts (The AFC games save for stretches in CLE/DEN were mostly competitive, but just 1 close NFC game). Maybe a shakeup changes things?
Maybe the NFC side is slightly more competitive outside of Rams/Giants instead of the SF Invitational?
Let's say the playoff format expands a year early, we have 6 playoff teams to end the 80s rather than start the 90s, and there is a fight for the 6 seed
For one, the Packers are battling not just the Vikings but Washington: their Saturday shutout of Seattle puts pressure on the Pack. Does GB play 1-14 DAL differently if they know they WOULD have been guaranteed a playoff spot?
Would the AFC Wild Card scramble have been more or less chaotic with 3 wild cards spots available instead of 2?
Let's assume the GB/PIT outcomes at Tampa and Dallas respectively are the same, as well as New Orleans blowing out Indy, Giants/Raiders, Chiefs/Dolphins:
both the Packers/Steelers would have already been in as 2nd WC's with a spot to spare (Green Bay's win would have knocked out 10-6 WSH, PIT would have known they were in on once they saw the Dolphins/Raiders/Colts losses) In fact, the Steelers would have already known they were onto Houston BEFORE Monday night!
The Bengals/Vikings MNF finale here has a different tone:
With the Rams/Eagles both 11-5, GB/MIN would have both been basically locked into a 3/6 matchup where MNF 12/25 is to determine NFC Central champ, so it wouldn't have been do-or-die but rather who hosts round 3
OTOH, while the Bengals are still fighting for a playoff spot the team that would have been watching on TV on Christmas night would not have been Pittsburgh, but Kansas City (thanks to their tie) and the reward at stake for the last AFC playoff spot would have not been a trip to Houston, but
Buffalo (which for Cincy would have been a rematch of last January AND a November game at Orchard Park)
Assuming MIN/CIN still plays out the same way, in addition to Rams/Eagles and Steelers/Oilers, we get Chiefs at Bills and Packers at Vikings
However, if the Bengals win, it's instead Vikings at Packers and Bengals at Bills
(Should the Packers choke in Big D and you want to do a Redskins/Vikings hypo 2 years after 87 but this time indoors be my guest although THAT basically changes the Vikings incentive)
Both road teams in real life won on 12/31/89, but what of those two other games? GB/MIN is now on Sunday because you can't play on Monday Does that change the fate of LA/PIT?
Bills/Chiefs in 89 would have been a very different version compared to 1991- BUF was not yet running no huddle and they were the Bickering Bills, but KC wasn't quite the beast they would soon become
Green Bay OTOH had split with Minnesota and was probably playing better down the stretch than Minny despite 8-0 at home
Now the big wild card is the divisional rule which was put in place because of the new format. If one of the 6 seeds pulls an upset, they go to DEN/SF which reroutes the Steelers and Rams.
Remember in 1989, we did not get Rams/49ers because of the old rule. Let's say the Vikings hold serve at home vs GB, is Rams/49ers a week earlier any more or less competitive? Meanwhile, that sends Minnesota to Giants Stadium where they had played a MNF game on Halloween Eve that turned in the 2nd half thanks to some fumbled kickoffs.
One thing we know for sure is that with a 6 team NFC, the Vikings would have NOT gone to San Francisco in the divisional (which they might have taken their chances on after what happened in 88)
Or if the Packers find a way, it's still Rams at Giants but also...... Packers at 49ers (and we all know what happened in November)
In the AFC, should BUF hold serve, that side stays the same (PIT/DEN, BUF/CLE). But if the Chiefs somehow found a way to take advantage of the Bickering Bills...... Chiefs at Broncos AND Steelers at Browns
We know about Marty's history vs Elway, but DEN played down to the competition vs the Steelers and the Chiefs were a smidge better IMO than PIT. Meanwhile..... Steelers at Browns, nuff said. We almost got that in a real-life AFC-CG, but how does Pittsburgh fare on that dirt field? Plus remember PIT had won there in October (their only win at CLE between 1981-1994!)
And perhaps to a lesser extent, I think the schedule would have looked a bit different because remember MIN played vs CIN on a Monday night so they had to play on Sunday.
Does Rams/Eagles play out a smidge different on Saturday in different weather? And where would Chiefs/Bills be scheduled?
This gives us 2 dome playoff games and 2 outdoor playoff games.
Just something interesting I thought of because the 1989 playoffs were a tale of contrasts (The AFC games save for stretches in CLE/DEN were mostly competitive, but just 1 close NFC game). Maybe a shakeup changes things?
Maybe the NFC side is slightly more competitive outside of Rams/Giants instead of the SF Invitational?