Team Advanced Metrics 2024

[SeahawkFever]

Good day,

You may remember the posts of the data that came from a few formulas that I made these past few months. Well I calculated those out for 2024:

First off, Score% differential:

Calculated as:
((2*(Pass TD's + Rush TD's))+Field Goals Made)/(2*(Pass TD's + Rush TD's))+Field Goals Attempted + Punts + Turnovers + Failed Fourth Down Conversions)

I take the amount the offense produced, subtract what the defense allows, then calculate the average of their opponents and make an adjustment up or down accordingly.

The results of Score% differential for 2024 are as follows:

2024 Detroit Lions 0.210231878
2024 Baltimore Ravens 0.152927392
2024 Green Bay Packers 0.152186158
2024 Philadelphia Eagles 0.139807261
2024 Buffalo Bills 0.139308372
2024 Minnesota Vikings 0.130170923
2024 Los Angeles Chargers 0.10756865
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.1007787
2024 Kansas City Chiefs 0.080015004
2024 Denver Broncos 0.080002812
2024 Washington Commanders 0.065988643
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.056994163
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.023559342
2024 Seattle Seahawks 0.003065652
2024 Arizona Cardinals -1.69754E-05
2024 Houston Texans -0.005034086
2024 Los Angeles Rams -0.015441081
2024 San Francisco 49ers -0.025893677
2024 Miami Dolphins -0.032694216
2024 Atlanta Falcons -0.05042331
2024 Indianapolis Colts -0.054465151
2024 New Orleans Saints -0.06834549
2024 Chicago Bears -0.07909673
2024 New York Jets -0.097475716
2024 Las Vegas Raiders -0.104980682
2024 Dallas Cowboys -0.105552713
2024 Tennessee Titans -0.121504975
2024 New York Giants -0.126158287
2024 New England Patriots -0.138073522
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars -0.15369743
2024 Cleveland Browns -0.15658003
2024 Carolina Panthers -0.19320369

The Lions finished on top by this metric for the first time since 1952. The Panthers have finished dead last by this metric for the second consecutive year.

As for the offenses, they showed up as follows:

2024 Detroit Lions 0.166415587
2024 Baltimore Ravens 0.136276914
2024 Buffalo Bills 0.126520229
2024 Washington Commanders 0.111952606
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.10126097
2024 Green Bay Packers 0.086355691
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.073968398
2024 Philadelphia Eagles 0.061361211
2024 Kansas City Chiefs 0.05109356
2024 Minnesota Vikings 0.04064116
2024 Los Angeles Chargers 0.037198937
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.032179052
2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.02844968
2024 Atlanta Falcons 0.012580151
2024 Los Angeles Rams 0.011383554
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.006239687
2024 Denver Broncos -0.00702326
2024 Indianapolis Colts -0.023598666
2024 Miami Dolphins -0.024632315
2024 New York Jets -0.036413788
2024 Houston Texans -0.038942601
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars -0.051076862
2024 Seattle Seahawks -0.059111779
2024 Carolina Panthers -0.061819749
2024 New Orleans Saints -0.064694436
2024 Dallas Cowboys -0.066918087
2024 Las Vegas Raiders -0.067705296
2024 Chicago Bears -0.097806972
2024 Tennessee Titans -0.099333783
2024 New England Patriots -0.102038314
2024 New York Giants -0.132429876
2024 Cleveland Browns -0.193348004

The Lions had the top offense by this metric for the first time since 1972, and the third time in their franchise history since 1941 (1971, 1972, and now 2024).

On the other end of the spectrum, the Browns show up as having far and away the worst offense this season, and this is the third time the Browns have shown up as the worst offense whether you include the earlier years pre-expansion or not (2000, 2017, and now 2024). If you are to take the raw separation literally, the 2024 Browns relative to their time show up as about as bad an offense as the 1974 Atlanta Falcons.


Here's how the defenses showed up by this metric:

2024 Minnesota Vikings -0.089529764
2024 Denver Broncos -0.087026072
2024 Philadelphia Eagles -0.078446051
2024 Los Angeles Chargers -0.070369713
2024 Green Bay Packers -0.065830467
2024 Seattle Seahawks -0.062177431
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.050754476
2024 Detroit Lions -0.043816292
2024 Cleveland Browns -0.036767975
2024 Houston Texans -0.033908516
2024 Kansas City Chiefs -0.028921444
2024 Chicago Bears -0.018710242
2024 Baltimore Ravens -0.016650478
2024 Buffalo Bills -0.012788143
2024 New York Giants -0.006271589
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.00048227
2024 New Orleans Saints 0.003651054
2024 Miami Dolphins 0.008061901
2024 Tennessee Titans 0.022171192
2024 Los Angeles Rams 0.026824634
2024 Indianapolis Colts 0.030866485
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.032196027
2024 New England Patriots 0.036035208
2024 Las Vegas Raiders 0.037275386
2024 Dallas Cowboys 0.038634625
2024 Washington Commanders 0.045963963
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.050409056
2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.054343357
2024 New York Jets 0.061061929
2024 Atlanta Falcons 0.063003461
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.102620568
2024 Carolina Panthers 0.131383941

The Vikings showed up on top for the fourth time in their franchise's history, and the first since the days of the Purple People Eaters (1969, 1970, 1971, and now 2024).

The Panthers showed up as the worst defense for the second time in their franchise's history (2011 and now 2024).

For reference, here are the strengths of schedule that these teams played by the average of the score% differential on top:

2024 Cleveland Browns 0.026264903
2024 Chicago Bears 0.020254278
2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.018235648
2024 Baltimore Ravens 0.016864591
2024 Dallas Cowboys 0.016249942
2024 Las Vegas Raiders 0.01504617
2024 New York Giants 0.014460733
2024 Tennessee Titans 0.014276354
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.012899691
2024 Los Angeles Rams 0.012456518
2024 Green Bay Packers 0.012454346
2024 Kansas City Chiefs 0.010015004
2024 Detroit Lions 0.006882988
2024 Carolina Panthers 0.005573068
2024 Atlanta Falcons 0.004820592
2024 Seattle Seahawks 0.003301425
2024 New York Jets -0.001343443
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.002093697
2024 Denver Broncos -0.00780104
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars -0.008149728
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.009059575
2024 New England Patriots -0.010676739
2024 New Orleans Saints -0.010929222
2024 Minnesota Vikings -0.012057847
2024 Indianapolis Colts -0.012084199
2024 Houston Texans -0.013475844
2024 Cincinnati Bengals -0.01551557
2024 Los Angeles Chargers -0.02063287
2024 Buffalo Bills -0.024895241
2024 Philadelphia Eagles -0.029889708
2024 Washington Commanders -0.03433626
2024 Miami Dolphins -0.040131673

The Browns played the hardest schedule for the sixth time in their franchise's history (1975, 1990, 2004, 2016, 2021, and now 2024). As for the Dolphins, they played the easiest schedule by this metric for the fourth time in their franchise's history (1970, 1972, 1984, and now 2024).

If we go by opposing win percentages, the strengths of schedule look like this:

2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.564
2024 New York Giants 0.553705882
2024 Chicago Bears 0.553588235
2024 Las Vegas Raiders 0.539647059
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.536294118
2024 Cleveland Browns 0.536235294
2024 Green Bay Packers 0.532882353
2024 Baltimore Ravens 0.529235294
2024 Tennessee Titans 0.522470588
2024 Dallas Cowboys 0.522411765
2024 Atlanta Falcons 0.518941176
2024 Detroit Lions 0.515588235
2024 Los Angeles Rams 0.505235294
2024 New Orleans Saints 0.505117647
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.501705882
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.501647059
2024 Denver Broncos 0.501588235
2024 Seattle Seahawks 0.498294118
2024 Carolina Panthers 0.498235294
2024 New York Jets 0.494823529
2024 Kansas City Chiefs 0.487764706
2024 Houston Texans 0.480941176
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.477470588
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.477352941
2024 Minnesota Vikings 0.473941176
2024 New England Patriots 0.470588235
2024 Buffalo Bills 0.467058824
2024 Los Angeles Chargers 0.466941176
2024 Indianapolis Colts 0.456588235
2024 Philadelphia Eagles 0.453176471
2024 Washington Commanders 0.435941176
2024 Miami Dolphins 0.418588235

Now to look at Rushing yards per carry on offense compared to the average of the opponents:

2024 Baltimore Ravens 1.361955784
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.789599249
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.709997141
2024 Washington Commanders 0.465610025
2024 Philadelphia Eagles 0.388408085
2024 Indianapolis Colts 0.360233665
2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.289190751
2024 Green Bay Packers 0.274924405
2024 Detroit Lions 0.24975911
2024 Buffalo Bills 0.208731095
2024 Houston Texans 0.073515907
2024 Carolina Panthers 0.068376555
2024 New England Patriots -0.02916023
2024 Atlanta Falcons -0.042131532
2024 New York Jets -0.069110596
2024 New Orleans Saints -0.098437368
2024 Seattle Seahawks -0.1658526
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars -0.176464664
2024 Cleveland Browns -0.20107033
2024 Cincinnati Bengals -0.206296378
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.249511008
2024 Denver Broncos -0.253938008
2024 Tennessee Titans -0.260169623
2024 New York Giants -0.262866976
2024 Los Angeles Chargers -0.272116881
2024 Minnesota Vikings -0.380002983
2024 Miami Dolphins -0.382392205
2024 Chicago Bears -0.399242256
2024 Kansas City Chiefs -0.408451601
2024 Dallas Cowboys -0.495425984
2024 Los Angeles Rams -0.51754737
2024 Las Vegas Raiders -0.793316025

The Ravens' total shows up as the 12th highest total relative to opponents since the earliest season that yards per carry are recorded. This is the third time they've shown up on top by this stat (2019, 2020, and now 2024).

The Raiders on the other hand showed up on the bottom by yards per carry relative to opponents for the first time in their franchise's history.


Passer rating produced on offense in 2024 compared to opponents looks like this:

2024 Baltimore Ravens 27.07058824
2024 Detroit Lions 20.54705882
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 14.86470588
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.54705882
2024 Minnesota Vikings 10.72352941
2024 Green Bay Packers 10.47647059
2024 Buffalo Bills 8.752941176
2024 Washington Commanders 7.929411765
2024 Los Angeles Chargers 7.864705882
2024 Philadelphia Eagles 7.094117647
2024 Los Angeles Rams 3.611764706
2024 Arizona Cardinals 1.988235294
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers 1.376470588
2024 San Francisco 49ers 1.205882353
2024 Denver Broncos 1.129411765
2024 Kansas City Chiefs 1.041176471
2024 Miami Dolphins 0.323529412
2024 New York Jets -0.105882353
2024 Seattle Seahawks -0.688235294
2024 Chicago Bears -4.605882353
2024 Atlanta Falcons -5.976470588
2024 Houston Texans -6.929411765
2024 New England Patriots -6.988235294
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars -7.517647059
2024 Dallas Cowboys -8.735294118
2024 Las Vegas Raiders -10.08235294
2024 New Orleans Saints -10.41176471
2024 Tennessee Titans -10.5
2024 Carolina Panthers -10.97058824
2024 New York Giants -14.98235294
2024 Indianapolis Colts -15.54705882
2024 Cleveland Browns -20.20588235

The Ravens show up on top by passer rating relative to their competition for the second time in their franchise's history (2019 and 2024).

In addition to the 2019 and 2024 Ravens, the 1934 Bears, 1941 Bears, 1943 Bears, 1948 49ers, 1960 Browns, 1970 Redskins, 1988 Bengals, 1992 49ers, 1998 49ers, 1999 Rams, and 2017 Eagles have also led the league in both yards per carry and passer rating relative to competition.

The Browns finished dead last by passer rating relative to competition for the fourth time in their franchise's history (2008, 2009, 2017, and 2024).

On the defensive side, here's how defensive yards per carry allowed compared to competition:

2024 Baltimore Ravens -0.719830629
2024 Denver Broncos -0.444118895
2024 Green Bay Packers -0.411242719
2024 Minnesota Vikings -0.386470745
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.358002814
2024 New York Jets -0.254800121
2024 Kansas City Chiefs -0.212512978
2024 Philadelphia Eagles -0.210467724
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.18942225
2024 Indianapolis Colts -0.047447564
2024 Houston Texans -0.044134064
2024 Miami Dolphins -0.031401184
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.029939759
2024 New York Giants 0.044402177
2024 San Francisco 49ers 0.044822009
2024 Las Vegas Raiders 0.067385571
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.070788444
2024 Buffalo Bills 0.075548454
2024 New England Patriots 0.07955361
2024 Atlanta Falcons 0.086752601
2024 Seattle Seahawks 0.112396205
2024 Detroit Lions 0.118489128
2024 Tennessee Titans 0.145350687
2024 Cleveland Browns 0.146227741
2024 Los Angeles Rams 0.151945252
2024 Dallas Cowboys 0.202847122
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.257904855
2024 Washington Commanders 0.27502538
2024 Chicago Bears 0.277602598
2024 Los Angeles Chargers 0.335113757
2024 New Orleans Saints 0.491039523
2024 Carolina Panthers 0.719919663

The Ravens yet again show up on top here. Despite not existing until 1996, they have finished first in this metric five times now (1999, 2000, 2007, 2009, and now 2024).

The Panthers finished last here. It's the second time they've done so, with the other coming in 2019.

And lastly, here's how the passer ratings that defenses allowed compared to their competition:

2024 Detroit Lions -10.22352941
2024 Philadelphia Eagles -9.235294118
2024 Minnesota Vikings -8.905882353
2024 Houston Texans -7.435294118
2024 New Orleans Saints -6.623529412
2024 Pittsburgh Steelers -6.117647059
2024 Denver Broncos -6.029411765
2024 Green Bay Packers -4.723529412
2024 Los Angeles Chargers -4.264705882
2024 Chicago Bears -3.070588235
2024 San Francisco 49ers -3.005882353
2024 Kansas City Chiefs -2.964705882
2024 Seattle Seahawks -2.811764706
2024 New York Jets -2.117647059
2024 Baltimore Ravens -1.935294118
2024 Arizona Cardinals 0.011764706
2024 Miami Dolphins 0.076470588
2024 Cincinnati Bengals 0.288235294
2024 Buffalo Bills 1.258823529
2024 Los Angeles Rams 1.705882353
2024 Cleveland Browns 2.058823529
2024 Las Vegas Raiders 2.217647059
2024 Tennessee Titans 2.382352941
2024 Washington Commanders 2.970588235
2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.164705882
2024 Dallas Cowboys 4.558823529
2024 New England Patriots 4.670588235
2024 Indianapolis Colts 5.194117647
2024 Atlanta Falcons 7.5
2024 New York Giants 8.723529412
2024 Carolina Panthers 12.18235294
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars 14.2

The Lions led here. It's the fourth time they've done so since passer rating was first recorded on defense. The others being 1937, 1954, and 1956.

The Jaguars finished last here. This is the first time that franchise has come in last by this metric.

Either way, there you have it, my advanced metrics for 2024. Feel free to let me know what you think.

[RichardBak]

Dem's a lotta numbers.