Evan wrote:Interesting that the game that Sports Illustrated touted as "Super Bowl VIII 1/2 " couldn't make the list - 1974 Oakland-Miami. It was a seemingly foregone conclusion that the winner of that would win the Super Bowl, but of course Chuck Noll used that game as inspirational leverage to charge up his team to their first Lombardi trophy.
It's a fun topic, completely subjective of course, but here's my two cents on the years that I paid the most attention to when they transpired:
1976: Raiders-Patriots in the playoffs. Both those teams were stronger than the Vikings that year. Maybe Steelers-Raiders, but I don't think the Steelers would have beaten the Vikings without Harris and Bleier in the Super Bowl, based on the regular season game that year.
1977: Cowboys-Vikings in the NFC Champ. If the Vikes had played the Broncos in the Super Bowl and if Tarkenton could have played (and I have no idea if he could have), the Vikes could have won a low-scoring game, just as they did over Denver in Week 2 the next year.
1980: Raiders-Chargers in the AFC Champ. I think San Diego would have been a little bit better than Philly that year.
1981: SF-Dallas in NFC Champ.
1984: SF-Chi in NFC Champ. I wonder about this one, given what Chicago accomplished the next season. Could Chicago without McMahon have found a way to play ball control with Payton, have the D force some turnovers, and surprise a Miami team that would have been favored by probably about 10-14 points?
1986: NYG-WSH and NYG-SF - I think those three teams were stronger than Denver.
1987: WSH-MIN and WSH-CHI - Ditto the previous year, all three stronger than Denver.
1988: SF-CHI and SF-MIN- All three teams a little bit better than Cincy, for different reasons.
1989: SF-MIN in the playoff round - I think either of those beat Denver, but I'm not sure the Rams do. Maybe.
1990: NYG-SF - Either finds a way to beat Buffalo in two completely different kinds of games.
I differ on many of these:
1976 - I have to figure if the Steelers had beaten the Raiders without Harris and Bleier, that they'd have been back for the Super Bowl. Even with just one of them in the Super Bowl, I lean towards Pittsburgh narrowly beating the Vikings in the Super Bowl.
1977 - I think Denver-Minnesota in Super Bowl XII would have been a low scoring game, but I think the Broncos defense would have been too much, and being that Tarkenton broke his leg in early November, there is no way he would have been able to play at full strength nine weeks later. I predict Denver 14 - Minnesota 3
1980 - I think the Eagles were pretty even to the Chargers and Raiders, but Vermeil brought them into the game too wound up that day. I think Eagles-Chargers was a tossup.
1981 - Cincinnati gave the 49ers a close game; I think they would have given Dallas a close game too. Game would have went either way.
1984 - In 1984, Chicago wasn't yet Da Bears, and Miami would have beat them in the Super Bowl - 31 to 10.
1986 - I think Elway would have found a way to beat Washington in the Super Bowl. The 1987 Redskins, Doug Williams notwithstanding, were a little stronger than the 1986 team in my opinion. San Francisco lost Montana for a chunk of the 1986 season but didn't really start clicking until late in the season. I don't know who wins this one, but it's a moot point as the 49ers got whipped by the Giants 49-3 in the Divisional game.
1987 - The 1987 Bears were like the 1986 Bears, a strong defense that covered for a weak offense, and it cost them in the postseason when they played a decent team. The Broncos barely got past them in a Monday Night Game in Denver; in a Super Bowl, who knows. I think if the Vikings had gotten past the Redskins, they would have beat the Broncos in the Super Bowl.
1988 - I think the Bengals would have beat Chicago or Minnesota in the Super Bowl; San Francisco was lucky to get past them.
1989 - I think it could be argued that any of the NFC playoff teams from 1989 would have beat the Broncos.
1990 - San Francisco vs. Buffalo would have been a shootout - with Montana, whoever had the ball last would win, but the 49ers without Montana, I would have to go with Buffalo.