2024 Season Notes wks 11-13

[Brian wolf]

The Bills have to be disappointed in the way their defense played against the Rams, who keep their own playoff hopes alive. Allen accounts for six TDs in a loss.

After Darnold's best passing day, there is no reason to think the Vikings shouldnt extend him next year? People are speculating about him going to different teams but with the playoffs approaching--and possibly 13 team wins--be kind of dumb for the team not to bring him back ...

49ers played like they are expected to but another injury to their starting RB. Why does this happen so often for them?

Injuries to Carr and O Connell, could put their starting futures in doubt.

Rats, I thought the Chargers would get the win tonight. Cant give the Chiefs that much time. The Swoodoo continues ... haha

[CSKreager]

The Chiefs are basically just tempting fate every week.

[Brian wolf]

Yep, kinda dumb leaving Kelce WIDE OPEN on 3rd and 7?

[JameisBrownston]

Darnold almost has to stay at this point. Too much winning. The coaching staff should revolt if he isn't retained. The front office probably still wants McCarthy, though. Rookie contract and all. No clear plan for what to do with him if Darnold signs long-term. There's going to be an internecine war for the future of the team this offseason. The Darnold has overcome Critical Gase Theory, the LibRhule Agenda, and Shanahanigans, to pull off the greatest comeback in American history, by a historic landslide! Now can our brave GEQBUS quell the McCarthyite Witch Hunt? FIGHT FIGHT FIGHT!

[Brian wolf]

Can the Vikings tag him? Or would a one-and-done playoff exit, change their minds? The NFL loves great storylines and if Darnold led the Vikes to a championship--much less a SB one--be the best story since Stafford, anyway.

[GameBeforeTheMoney]

It's Campbell and many other coaches doing similar stunts that makes me believe that this year's championship will be not lost more than it will be won. This is the era for that kind of thing. We've seen it so many times between going for 2 (KC in the AFC Championship comes to mind first) and teams going for it on 4th down.

Yup, it's the age of analytics. Not so sure how I feel about all the in-house math whizzes NFL and MLB employ. In my mind, it's already ruined baseball. I like to quote Russell Baker from a long time ago: "The trouble with baseball is that it grew up and became engineering." Not there yet with the NFL. I wonder how many of Campbell's decisions are organic---coming from the gut instead of some computer.

The issue I see with analytics is that people look at them, and they don't necessarily look at the further context of them.

Ex: I see people mention how often a team makes it on fourth down, but I don't see people mention how good the offensive lines and running backs of the teams that converted those fourth downs were.

MLB example: Probably the most useless split in my opinion that is often recited on broadcasts is how well a batter bats vs a particular team in their career. A good number of those plate appearances could have been against pitchers that are not on the other team anymore.

Huge MLB and NFL fan, and as you may tell from the posts on the data I've shared, I enjoy looking into and calculating the analytics of both, but I will say that if you take them at face value without assessing the talent you have to work with and are facing in the moment, then you could make some very questionable decisions in-game because analytics said it worked overall for those who tried it.

Exactly. And you can't take football analytics at face value. You can't measure a guy knocking down another guy. Or second and third effort (on offense and defense.) And the number of times I've seen trailing teams make a fourth down in the fourth quarter, then kick a field goal two and a half minutes later and then later run out of time or not get the ball back at all. Or miss the fourth down but get the ball back three more times and they could have won with field goals if they'd have just kicked them instead of going for fourth downs. I don't think anybody's measuring those analytics either.

[GameBeforeTheMoney]

The Chiefs are basically just tempting fate every week.

Now you've got me entertaining a new question - will the Chiefs be like the 2011 Packers?

[CSKreager]

The Chiefs are basically just tempting fate every week.

Now you've got me entertaining a new question - will the Chiefs be like the 2011 Packers?

KC quite frankly is beyond overdue for an ass kicking.

[RichardBak]

The Chiefs are basically just tempting fate every week.

Now you've got me entertaining a new question - will the Chiefs be like the 2011 Packers?

KC quite frankly is beyond overdue for an ass kicking.

Which would make them 12-2. I'm no KC fan, but I gotta admire any team's ability to continually win one-score games. Man for man, they may not measure up to some other elite teams, but they know how to win. It's an ethos, an expectation. Gotta respect that.

[CSKreager]

Now you've got me entertaining a new question - will the Chiefs be like the 2011 Packers?

KC quite frankly is beyond overdue for an ass kicking.

Which would make them 12-2. I'm no KC fan, but I gotta admire any team's ability to continually win one-score games. Man for man, they may not measure up to some other elite teams, but they know how to win. It's an ethos, an expectation. Gotta respect that.

Winning one score games is luck, not skill